BBAI Stock: $282M Backlog, But Where Is the Cash Proof?
BigBear.ai's Q1 2026 backlog and gross margin improved, but the deep dive keeps the proof gate on revenue conversion, adjusted EBITDA, and operating cash flow.
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Rubrik: data-resilience growth is real, but cash conversion has to carry the post-IPO case
Rubrik reported FY2026 revenue of $1.3 billion, FY2026 operating cash flow of $282.9 million, a FY2026 net loss of $348.8 million and $380.2 million of cash. The thesis depends on subscription durability, data security demand, operating leverage, cash conversi
OpenQ2 Holdings: banking software growth now has to prove margin expansion is durable
Q2 Holdings reported FY2025 revenue of $794.8 million, Q1 2026 revenue of $216.5 million, FY2025 operating cash flow of $201.5 million and Q1 2026 net income of $26.6 million. The thesis depends on banking software demand, subscription durability, margin expan
OpenOkta: identity security finally has cash flow, but growth quality has to hold
Okta reported FY2026 revenue of $2.9 billion, FY2026 operating income of $149 million and FY2026 operating cash flow of $884 million. The thesis depends on identity demand, retention, remaining performance obligations, margin discipline and security-platform c
OpenMicrosoft's AI return test: Azure, Copilot, and capex discipline
A Microsoft five-year double thesis focused on Azure AI demand, Copilot monetization, enterprise distribution, capital intensity, and regulatory risk.
OpenMicrosoft: AI distribution power, capex payback test
A Coverage Bootstrap Microsoft company evaluation covering Azure, Microsoft 365, Copilot, AI capex, enterprise distribution, security, gaming, regulation, and valuation setup.
OpenGTLB: GitLab is growing into DevSecOps scale, but profitability is still the gate
GitLab reported FY2026 revenue of $955.2 million, gross profit of $834.5 million, operating loss of $70.5 million and operating cash flow of $232.9 million. The setup depends on DevSecOps adoption, platform consolidation, gross-margin durability, operating dis
OpenBroadcom's AI cash-flow test: custom chips, Ethernet, and VMware
A Broadcom five-year double thesis focused on custom AI silicon, Ethernet networking, VMware free cash flow, customer concentration, and integration risk.
OpenBroadcom: custom AI silicon plus VMware cash flow
A Coverage Bootstrap Broadcom company evaluation covering custom AI silicon, Ethernet networking, VMware, free cash flow, customer concentration, integration risk, and valuation discipline.
OpenAI: C3.ai's reset has to prove it is more than a cost cut
C3.ai ended FY2026 with preliminary revenue inside guidance and a large cash and investments balance, but the latest evidence is dominated by a sharp revenue reset, weak Q3 gross margin, negative free cash flow, a 26% workforce reduction and Thomas Siebel's re
OpenADTRAN: Fiber Spending Is Back, Now The Balance Sheet Gets A Vote
ADTRAN's fiber and optical-networking rebound is finally visible in official numbers, but the next decision point is whether gross margin, cash conversion, debt, and Adtran Networks obligations let common shareholders keep the upside.
OpenADT: The Home Security Cash Machine Now Has To Prove AI Is More Than A Yard Sign
ADT has a 6.1 million-subscriber monitoring base, $359 million of recurring monthly revenue, and real cash generation, but the stock story now depends on whether ADT+, Origin AI, and smart-home intelligence can improve growth without stretching payback or leve
OpenAdobe: the cash machine AI is supposed to defend, not destroy
Adobe's numbers still look like a software toll road. The debate is whether Firefly, Acrobat AI, CX Enterprise, and Semrush turn AI into more toll lanes or let customers route around the booth.
OpenACI Worldwide: the payments plumbing cash machine that has to outrun legacy gravity
ACI Worldwide has raised 2026 guidance, $1.21 billion of FY2025 recurring revenue, strong Payment Software and Biller economics, and an aggressive buyback posture. The harder question is whether Connetic, real-time payments, and Speedpay One can keep a 50-year
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